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European markets cheer China trade data

The German DAX 30 (+0.22%), the French CAC (+0.49%), the Italian FTSE MIB (+0.78%) and the Spanish IBEX 35 (+0.80%) are edging higher on Friday as the European Council meets for a 2014-2020 budget decision on how to spend around €960B.

Investors cheered China's trade data, with both imports (25.0% vs 17.0% consensus) and exports (28.8% vs 23.3% consensus) coming in higher than expected in January, as well as the trade surplus (29.2B vs 22.0B consensus).
German trade data came out with wider than expected surplus (€16.8B vs €14.8B consensus) and current account (€17.3B vs €17.0B consensus). December (MoM) exports (+0.3% vs +1.3% consensus) and imports (-1.3% vs -1.4% consensus) disappointed.

The Italian industrial output improved from -7.7% to -6.6% in December (consensus of -7.2%), with a +0.4% monthly growth. The Greek CPI eased from 0.8% to 0.2% in January (YoY) and industrial production bounced from -3.2% (revised from -2.9%) to -0.5% in November.

Swiss real retail sales rose from 3.0% (revised from 2.9%) to 5.1% in December, beating 3.2% consensus. The French budget has narrowed its deficit in December, from €103.4B to €87.2B.

Futures for the American S&P 500 (-0.01%), Dow Jones 30 (-0.06%) and Nasdaq 100 (+0.10%) are mixed ahead of US trade balance data. “We look for a slightly smaller trade deficit than consensus in December, as the lagged impact from lower energy prices and further improvement in export activity temper the trade imbalance”, wrote TD Securities analysts.

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